Scales of Measurement -6 • Interval The data have the properties of ordinal data, and the interval between observations is expressed in terms of a fixed unit of measure. Example: SAT scores, temperature Interval data are always numeric. 1 Scales of Measurement -7 • Interval Example: three students with SAT math scores of 620, 550, and 470 can be ranked or ordered in terms of best performance to poorest performance in math. The differences between the scores are meaningful. For instance, student 1 scored 620 - 550 = 70 points more than student 2, while student 2 scored 550 - 470 = 80 points more than student 3. 2 Scales of Measurement -8 • Ratio The data have all the properties of interval data and the ratio of two values is meaningful. Variables such as distance, height, weight, and time use the ratio scale. This scale must contain a zero value that indicates that nothing exists for the variable at the zero point. 3 Scales of Measurement -9 • Ratio Example: Melissa’s college record shows 36 credit hours earned, while Kevin’s record shows 72 credit hours earned. Kevin has twice as many credit hours earned as Melissa. 4 Categorical and Quantitative Data Data can be further classified as being categorical or quantitative. The statistical analysis that is appropriate depends on whether the data for the variable are categorical or quantitative. In general, there are more alternatives for statistical analysis when the data are quantitative. 5 Quantitative Data Quantitative data indicate how many or how much: discrete, if measuring how many continuous, if measuring how much Quantitative data are always numeric. Ordinary arithmetic operations are meaningful for quantitative data. 6 Scales of Measurement Data Categorical Numeric Nominal Ordinal Quantitative Non-numeric Nominal Ordinal Numeric Interval Ratio 7 Cross-Sectional Data Cross-sectional data are collected at the same or approximately the same point in time. Example: data detailing the number of building permits issued in November 2012 in each of the counties of Ohio 8 Time Series Data -1 Time series data are collected over several time periods. Example: data detailing the number of building permits issued in Lucas County, Ohio in each of the last 36 months Graphs of time series help analysts understand • what happened in the past, • identify any trends over time, and • project future levels for the time series 9 Time Series Data -2 • Graph of Time Series Data 10 1.3 Data Sources -1 • Existing Sources Internal company records – almost any department Business database services – Dow Jones & Co. Government agencies - U.S. Department of Labor Industry associations – Travel Industry Association of America Special-interest organizations – Graduate Management Admission Council Internet – more and more firms 11 Data Sources -2 • Statistical Studies - Observational In observational (nonexperimental) studies no attempt is made to control or influence the variables of interest. a survey is a good example Studies of smokers and nonsmokers are observational studies because researchers do not determine or control who will smoke and who will not smoke. 12 Data Sources -3 • Statistical Studies - Experimental In experimental studies the variable of interest is first identified. Then one or more other variables are identified and controlled so that data can be obtained about how they influence the variable of interest. 13 Data Sources -4 • For example, a pharmaceutical firm might be interested in conducting an experiment to learn how a new drug affects blood pressure. – Blood pressure is the variable of interest in the study. – The dosage level of the new drug is another variable that is hoped to have a causal effect on blood pressure. 14 Data Acquisition Considerations Time Requirement – Searching for information can be time consuming. – Information may no longer be useful by the time it is available. Cost of Acquisition – Organizations often charge for information even when it is not their primary business activity. Data Errors – Using any data that happen to be available or were acquired with little care can lead to misleading information. 15 Data Acquisition Errors • We should always be aware of the possibility of data errors in statistical studies. Using erroneous data can be worse than not using any data at all. • An error in data acquisition occurs whenever the data value obtained is not equal to actual value that would be obtained with a correct procedure. • For example, – In writing the age of a 24-year-old person as 42. – A respondent shown to be 22 years of age but reporting 20 years of work experience. 16 1.4 Descriptive Statistics • Most of the statistical information in newspapers, magazines, company reports, and other publications consists of data that are summarized and presented in a form that is easy to understand. • Such summaries of data, which may be tabular, graphical, or numerical, are referred to as descriptive statistics. 17 Descriptive Statistics -1 • A tabular summary of the data set in Table 1.1 • Frequencies and Percent Frequencies for The Fitch Credit Rating Outlook of 60 Nations 18 Three Lines Table 19 Three Lines Table 20 Descriptive Statistics -2 • Bar Chart for The Fitch Credit Rating Outlook of 60 Nations 21 Descriptive Statistics -3 • A graphical summary of the data for quantitative variable Per Capita GDP in Table 1.1, called a histogram 22 1.5 Statistical Inference -1 Population - the set of all elements of interest in a particular study Sample - a subset of the population Statistical inference - the process of using data obtained from a sample to make estimates and test hypotheses about the characteristics of a population Census - collecting data for the entire population Sample survey - collecting data for a sample 23 Statistical Inference -2 • Example: Norris Electronics. – Norris manufactures a high-intensity lightbulb. – To increase the useful life of the lightbulb, the product design group developed a new lightbulb filament. In this case, the population is defined as all lightbulbs that could be produced with the new filament. – To evaluate the advantages of the new filament, 200 bulbs with the new filament were manufactured and tested. – Data collected from this sample showed the number of hours each lightbulb operated before filament burnout. 24 Process of Statistical Inference 1. Population consists of all bulbs Manufactured with the new filament. Average lifetime is unknown. 4. The sample average is used to estimate the population average. 2. A sample of 200 bulbs is manufactured with the new filament. 3. The sample data provide a sample average parts cost of $76 hours per bulb. 25 Statistics for Business and Economics Chapter 2 Descriptive Statistics: Tabular and Graphical Displays How to describe the unknown data? 27 2.1 Summarizing Categorical Data for a categorical Variable • Frequency Distribution • Relative Frequency Distribution • Percent Frequency Distribution • Bar Chart • Pie Chart 28 Frequency Distribution A frequency distribution (次數分配) is a tabular summary of data showing the number (frequency) of observations in each of several non-overlapping categories or classes. The objective is to provide insights about the data that cannot be quickly obtained by looking only at the original data. 29 Frequency Distribution • Example: Frequency Distribution of Soft Drink Purchases 30 Relative Frequency Distribution The relative frequency of a class is the fraction or proportion of the total number of data items belonging to the class. A relative frequency distribution is a tabular summary of a set of data showing the relative frequency for each class. 31 Percent Frequency Distribution The percent frequency of a class is the relative frequency multiplied by 100. A percent frequency distribution is a tabular summary of a set of data showing the percent frequency for each class. 32 Relative Frequency and Percent Frequency Distribution • Example: Relative and Percent Frequency Distribution of Soft Drink Purchases 33 Bar Chart -1 • A bar chart is a graphical display for depicting categorial data. • On one axis (usually the horizontal axis), we specify the labels that are used for each of the classes. • A frequency, relative frequency, or percent frequency scale can be used for the other axis (usually the vertical axis). • Using a bar of fixed width drawn above each class label, we extend the height appropriately. • The bars are separated to emphasize the fact that each class is a separate category. 34 Bar Chart -2 • Example: Bar Graph of Soft Drink Purchases 35 Pie Chart -1 • The pie chart is a commonly used graphical display for presenting relative frequency and percent frequency distributions for categorical data. • First draw a circle; then use the relative frequencies to subdivide the circle into sectors that correspond to the relative frequency for each class. • Since there are 360 degrees in a circle, a class with a relative frequency of 0.38 would consume 0.38(360) = 136.8 degrees of the circle. 36 Pie Chart -2 • Example: Pie Chart of Soft Drink Purchases 37 3-D Pie Chart and Comparison • Example: Pie Chart of Soft Drink Purchases • 38 2.2 Summarizing Quantitative Data • Frequency Distribution • Relative Frequency and Percent Frequency Distributions • Histogram • Cumulative Distributions 39 Frequency Distribution -1 • The three steps necessary to define the classes for a frequency distribution with quantitative data are: 1. Determine the number of non-overlapping classes. 2. Determine the width of each class. 3. Determine the class limits. 40 Frequency Distribution -2 • Guidelines for Determining the Number of Classes – Use between 5 and 20 classes. • we recommend using between 5 and 20 classes. – Data sets with a larger number of elements usually require a larger number of classes. – Smaller data sets usually require fewer classes. The goal is to use enough classes to show the variation in the data, but not so many classes that some contain only a few data items. 41 Frequency Distribution -3 • Guidelines for Determining the Width of Each Class – Use classes of equal width. – Approximate Class Width = Largest Data Value - Smallest Data Value Number of Classes Making the classes the same width reduces the chance of inappropriate interpretations. 42 Frequency Distribution -4 • Note on Number of Classes and Class Width – In practice, the number of classes and the appropriate class width are determined by trial and error. – Once a possible number of classes is chosen, the appropriate class width is found. – The process can be repeated for a different number of classes. – Ultimately, the analyst uses judgment to determine the combination of the number of classes and class width that provides the best frequency distribution for summarizing the data. 43 Frequency Distribution -5 • Guidelines for Determining the Class Limits – Class limits must be chosen so that each data item belongs to one and only one class. – The lower class limit identifies the smallest possible data value assigned to the class. – The upper class limit identifies the largest possible data value assigned to the class. – The appropriate values for the class limits depend on the level of accuracy of the data. An open-end class requires only a lower class limit or an upper class limit. 44 Frequency Distribution -6 • Example: These data show the time in days required to complete year-end audits for a sample of 20 clients of Sanderson and Clifford, a small public accounting firm with the data rounded to the nearest day. 45 Frequency Distribution -7 • Example: Year-end audit times 1. Number of classes = 5 2. An approximate class width of (33 — 12)/5= 4.2. 3. We therefore decided to round up and use a class width of 5 days in the frequency distribution. 4. Frequency Distribution 46 Relative Frequency and Percent Frequency Distributions • Example: Year-end audit times 47 Histogram -1 • Another common graphical display of quantitative data is a histogram. • The variable of interest is placed on the horizontal axis. • A rectangle is drawn above each class interval with its height corresponding to the interval’s frequency, relative frequency, or percent frequency. • Unlike a bar graph, a histogram has no natural separation between rectangles of adjacent classes. 48 Histogram -2 • Example: Histogram for The Audit Time Data 49 Histograms Showing Skewness -1 • Histograms Showing Differing Levels of Skewness 50 Cumulative Distributions -1 Cumulative frequency distribution - shows the number of items with values less than or equal to the upper limit of each class.. Cumulative relative frequency distribution – shows the proportion of items with values less than or equal to the upper limit of each class. Cumulative percent frequency distribution – shows the percentage of items with values less than or equal to the upper limit of each class. 51 Cumulative Distributions -2 • Example: – Cumulative Frequency – Cumulative Relative Frequency and Cumulative Percent Frequency Distributions for the Audit Data. 52 Stem-and-Leaf Display -1 • A stem-and-leaf display shows both the rank order and shape of the distribution of the data. • It is similar to a histogram on its side, but it has the advantage of showing the actual data values. • The first digits of each data item are arranged to the left of a vertical line. • To the right of the vertical line we record the last digit for each item in rank order. • Each line in the display is referred to as a stem. • Each digit on a stem is a leaf. 53 Stem-and-Leaf Display -2 • Example: Number of Questions Answered Correctly 54 Stem-and-Leaf Display -3 • Stem : The numbers to the left of the vertical line (6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, and 14). • Leaf : each digit to the right of the vertical line. 55 Stem-and-Leaf Display -4 • Although the stem-and-leaf display may appear to offer the same information as a histogram, it has two primary advantages. 1. The stem-and-leaf display is easier to construct by hand. 2. Within a class interval, the stem-and-leaf display provides more information than the histogram because the stem-and-leaf shows the actual (or near actual) data. 56 Stem-and-Leaf Display • Leaf Units – A single digit is used to define each leaf. – In the preceding example, the leaf unit was 1. – Leaf units may be 100, 10, 1, 0.1, and so on. – Where the leaf unit is not shown, it is assumed to equal 1. – The leaf unit indicates how to multiply the stemand-leaf numbers in order to approximate the original data. 57 2.3 Summarizing Data for Two Variables Using Tables -1 • Crosstabulation (交叉表) 58 Summarizing Data for Two Variables Using Tables -2 • Thus far we have focused on methods that are used to summarize the data for one variable at a time. • Often a manager is interested in tabular and graphical methods that will help understand the relationship between two variables. • Crosstabulation is a method for summarizing the data for two variables. 59 Crosstabulation -1 • A crosstabulation is a tabular summary of data for two variables. • Crosstabulation can be used when: – one variable is qualitative and the other is quantitative, – both variables are qualitative, or – both variables are quantitative. • The left and top margin labels define the classes for the two variables. 60 Crosstabulation -2 • Example: Data from Zagat’s Restaurant Review – Data on a restaurant’s quality rating and typical meal price are reported. – Quality rating is a qualitative variable with rating categories of good, very good, and excellent. – Meal price is a quantitative variable that ranges from $10 to $49. 61 Crosstabulation -3 • Example: : Data from Zagat’s Restaurant The data for the first 10 restaurants 62 Crosstabulation -4 • Example: Data from Zagat’s Restaurant Crosstabulation of Quality Rating and Meal Price for 300 Los Angeles Restaurants 63 2.4 Summarizing Data for Two Variables Using Graphical Displays -1 • Scatter Diagram and Trendline 64 Summarizing Data for Two Variables Using Graphical Displays -2 • In most cases, a graphical display is more useful than a table for recognizing patterns and trends. • Displaying data in creative ways can lead to powerful insights. • Scatter diagrams and trendlines are useful in exploring the relationship between two variables. 65 Scatter Diagram and Trendline • A scatter diagram is a graphical presentation of the relationship between two quantitative variables. • One variable is shown on the horizontal axis and the other variable is shown on the vertical axis. • The general pattern of the plotted points suggests the overall relationship between the variables. • A trendline provides an approximation of the relationship. 66 Scatter Diagram -4 • Example: The Stereo and Sound Equipment Store – Consider the advertising/sales relationship for a stereo and sound equipment store in San Francisco. On 10 occasions during the past three months. 67 Scatter Diagram -5 • Example: Scatter Diagram and Trendline for The Stereo and Sound Equipment Store. 68 Scatter Diagram -6 • The scatter diagram indicates a positive relationship between the number of commercials and sales. • Higher sales are associated with a higher number of commercials. • The relationship is NOT perfect in that all points are not on a straight line. However, the general pattern of the points and the trendline suggest that the overall relationship is positive. 69 Scatter Diagram -1 • A Positive Relationship No Apparent Relationship y y x x • A Negative Relationship y • A Negative Relationship x 70 Choosing the Type of Graphical Display • Displays used to show the distribution of data: Bar Chart Pie Chart Dot Plot Histogram Stem-and-Leaf Display • Displays used to make comparisons: Side-by-Side Bar Chart Stacked Bar Chart • Displays used to show relationships: Scatter Diagram Trendline 71 Tabular and Graphical Displays Data Categorical Data Quantitative Data Tabular Displays Graphical Displays Tabular Displays Graphical Displays •Frequency Distribution •Rel. Freq. Dist. •Percent Freq. Distribution •Crosstabulation •Bar Chart •Pie Chart •Side-by-Side Bar Chart • Stacked Bar Chart •Frequency Distribution •Rel. Freq. Dist. •% Freq. Dist. •Cum. Freq. Dist. •Cum. Rel. Freq. Distribution •Cum. % Freq. Distribution •Crosstabulation •Dot Plot •Histogram •Stem-andLeaf Display •Scatter Diagram 72 End of Chapter 2 • Chapter 1 HW: • Chapter 2 HW: 73
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