“Politics is war without bloodshed while war is politics with bloodshed” - Mao Zedong
A deep quote from a deeply troubled man is extremely important in today’s round, because
when we understand the point at which war and politics collide, we understand the weight that
this conflict carries.
Because the proposition understands that a bloody conflict between China and Taiwan shouldn’t
be furthered by the United States that we are proud to stand in proposition of today’s resolution:
This House would not support US military intervention in the Taiwan Strait.
Standard: Morality
Framework: Mitigate potential violence. Understand the burden of this round isn’t to solve the
conflict between China and Taiwan, the purpose of the round is to weigh the effects of full scale
military intervention in Taiwan.
1. Status Quo
a. We have ships and military personnel there and China said they don’t care
Status Quo cards on Military presence in Taiwan
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-troops-have-been-deployed-in-taiwan-for-at-least-a-year-11633
614043
US Warships in Taiwan
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/us-canadian-warships-sailed-through-taiwan-strait-la
st-week-2021-10-17/
-“China’s Foreign Ministry said in a statement that it urged the U.S. to adhere to prior
agreements and to cease military aid to Taiwan. “China will take all necessary steps to protect
its sovereignty and territorial integrity,” it said.”
--”China sent around 150 aircraft into the zone over a four-day period beginning on Oct. 1 in a
further heightening of tension between Beijing and taiwan that has sparked concern
internationally.”
-“Taiwan’s overall military spending was similar to that of Singapore, which has a quarter of
Taiwan’s population and doesn’t have China breathing down its neck.”
--US special operations forces and the marines have been deployed in Taiwan for over a year
with the goal of building defenses against China.
-“Taiwan’s defense minister, Chiu Kuo-cheng, warned Wednesday that China would be able to
launch a full-scale attack on Taiwan with minimal losses by 2025.”
--“U.S. Navy ships have been transiting the strait roughly monthly, to the anger of Beijing, which
has accused Washington of stoking regional tensions. U.S. allies occasionally also send ships
through the strait, including Britain last month.”
Overall, the military contributions from the US are heightening tensions while providing
essentially 0 support to Taiwan.
2. We don’t uphold democracy
Purpose of having military in Taiwan in the first place (could also be a substantive for 2nd
speech)
a. The fundamental goal of supporting Taiwan in the first place is to promote democracy.
The US is in 0 position to maintain that. *Challenge negation to come up with a singular
example of military intervention from the US leading to a promotion of democratic ideals
(ie Afghanistan, Korea, Vietnam)* They can’t accomplish it. They only serve to further
the division between China and Taiwan and promote violence.
3. Other nations are there and we should emphasize global intervention,
If we rally the western world in an effort to hurt China where it matters to them, aka the
economy, we’d actually have a chance at preventing China from continuing their aggressions
against Taiwan.
a. If we continue to keep our ships there, we don’t solve a single problem regarding the
aggression.
World's top exports
In 2020 china's top trading partners including
The US, Japan, South Korea, Germany, the Netherlands, the UK, Australia, and more make up
38.6%
Political intervention
THE ARCHIVES
We are proud to stand in proposition of today's motion. This House would not support US
military intervention in the Taiwan Strait.
We are proud to represent the proposition for today’s motion: This House would not support US
military intervention in the Taiwan Strait.
Policy and change- value real change
Politically Intervention
While each case is clearly different, the failure of most of these interventions to achieve the
desired stability and accountable governance implies a need for a serious rethink about how
interventions are conducted. In some quarters, this has revolved around debates over the
effectiveness of counterinsurgency methods. This discussion largely misses the point. Military
effectiveness has very little bearing on the success of interventions. Instead, inherently political
factors pose nearly insurmountable obstacles to the success of ‘stabilizing interventions’,
regardless of the quality and doctrine of intervening forces. Indeed, most such interventions
feature a recurring series of obstacles.
Essentially military interventions fail because of a lack of focus on political issues