INTERCAI MONDIALE The Role of Utility Providers in the spread of NGNs and Broadband Mark Norris Intercai Mondiale ITU-D Regional Development Forum for the Arab Region "NGN and Broadband, Opportunities and Challenges", Cairo (Egypt), 13-15 December 2010 www.intercai.co.uk INTERCAI MONDIALE Intercai Mondiale • • • • • • • • Telecom policy Competitive strategy for incumbents and market entrants Regulatory implementation Tariff and pricing strategies Privatisation support Training and knowledge transfer Business planning and technical support Technical and financial due diligence INTERCAI MONDIALE Presentation Agenda Why Now? What assets can utilities leverage? What are the options for market entry? What are the likely problems and issues? 3 Copyright: Intercai Mondiale Ltd. No reproduction without permission INTERCAI MONDIALE Why Now? What ass ets can uti liti es leverage? What are the options for mar ket entry? What are the likel y probl ems and is sues ? Why now? • Political imperatives – Next generation broadband is a matter of national importance*. • Telcos redefining their position: services, IT, infrastructure – Decline in ‘traditional’ telecom services – Impact of the Internet and its associated features – Segmentation of vertical organisations: BT and Openreach, Telstra * The OECD report that governments could justify the cost of a National Broadband Network by using it to cut cost in sectors such as healthcare, education, transport and energy. On average a cost saving of around 1% in each of these sectors would, over a ten year period, meet the cost of building the national broadband network. Copyright: Intercai Mondiale Ltd. No reproduction without permission 4 INTERCAI MONDIALE What ass ets can uti liti es leverage? Why Now? What are the options for mar ket entry? What are the likel y probl ems and is sues ? The Trans-sector future • The ‘next generation’ telecoms sector – Australian national broadband network, Stokab (Stockholm), PPC (Greece), KPLC (Kenya), H2O (UK) and many more • Mature technology for delivering telecoms services over power and other utility networks – Optical ground wire, Powerline, microduct • Capital needs of existing Telcos 5 Copyright: Intercai Mondiale Ltd. No reproduction without permission INTERCAI MONDIALE What ass ets canWhat uti litiass es ets leverage? can uti liti es leverage? Why Why Now? Now? What are the options Whatfor are the maroptions ket entry? for mar ket entry? What are the areems the likelWhat y probl y probl andlikel is sues ? ems and is sues ? Physical assets that utilities can leverage Service Provider Established Telecom network Core Network Point of presence Metropolitan area network MSAN//Local Exchange / CO/M Local loop (1) Street Cabinet Local loop (2) Hand hole Typical Utility Assets (Electricity) MV x ? HV transmission Substations network Potential for Telecom application MV distribution network Distribution centres x ? LV distribution Transformer sites network ? KPLC 186k Enertel Energis H2O (Fibre) LV distribution network LV poles ? ? Electricity meters Pulaski (WiMax) 6 INTERCAI MONDIALE Why Why Now? Now? What ass ets canWhat uti litiass es ets leverage? can uti liti es leverage? What are the options Whatfor are the maroptions ket entry? for mar ket entry? What are the are the likelWhat y probl ems y probl andlikel is sues ? ems and is sues ? Other assets that utilities can leverage • Operational Support Systems – Customer relationship management – Billing – Established processes • Retail outlets – Shops and established market presence – Call centres • Field staff 7 Copyright: Intercai Mondiale Ltd. No reproduction without permission INTERCAI MONDIALE Scope of this presentation What are the Why Why Now? Now? What What assass etsets uties liti es cancan uti liti leverage? leverage? What are the options options for for entry? marmar ketket entry? What are the What are the likel y probl ems likel y probl ems and is sues ? and is sues ? Options for market entry • Each market is different – Level of competition and consumer demand determine likelihood of positive business case • Attitude of the regulator is key – Regulation determines the scope of activity through the availability of operating licences – It determines effectiveness through (e.g. unbundled local loop, number portability etc) – It determines the practicality through infrastructure (e.g. mast, duct) sharing • The ‘sliding scale’ of market entry – – – – Wayleave provider Dark fibre provider Carriers’ carrier Full service operator Copyright: Intercai Mondiale Ltd. No reproduction without permission 8 INTERCAI MONDIALE Scope of this presentation Why Why Now? Now? What ass ets What ass ets can uti liti es can uti liti es leverage? leverage? What are the What are the options for options for mar ket entry? mar ket entry? What are the What are the likel y probl ems likel y probl ems and is sues ? and is sues ? Technical options for broadband market entry Broadband option FTTN/ VDSL2 Indicative cost and other costs… System line cost: $100 VDSL (compared to ADSL’s $50) Testing, preparing copper plant, street cabinet (active, so needs power supply), and the fibre to the node. FTTH: Ethernet point-to-point 2 x $25 transceivers Passive or active architecture. Fibre from MSAN, Local Exchange (or central office, CO) for each end user. FTTH: Passive optical network (GPON) $50 triplexer + 1/32 x ($250 OLT transceiver + splitters) Passive architecture: N+1 transceivers with N users. Fibre runs from end user to splitter. Optical Network Termination is powered and may be indoors or outdoors 9 INTERCAI MONDIALE Scope of this presentation What are the Why Why Now? Now? What What assass ets ets uties liti es cancan uti liti leverage? leverage? What are the options options for for entry? marmar ket ket entry? What are the What are the likel y probl ems likel y probl ems and is sues ? and is sues ? Example architecture for broadband market entry Fibre-to-the-Premises (FTTP) Core Core network network Backhaul Overhead Distribution Fibre Detailed decisions...... 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Star/Ring configuration? Arrangement of Street Cabinets/Manholes/Hand-holes? Access cables joined to main or full run kept in cabinet until used? Demarcation at Street cabinet (or equivalent) or in premises (on wall, as per Cable)? Cable size – 144/64 etc? Overhead delivery, standard duct or micro-duct into premises (blown/buried/pulled)? Plastic or Glass fibre? Fibre Underground Distribution Fibre 10 INTERCAI MONDIALE Scope of this presentation Why Why Now? Now? What ass ets What ass ets can uti liti es can uti liti es leverage? leverage? What are the What are the options for options for mar ket entry? mar ket entry? What are the What are the likel y probl ems likel y probl ems and is sues ? and is sues ? Passive elements for broadband market entry Fibre optic cable 24-144 fibres per cable Buried or Ariel (ADSS/OPGW) High capacity & flexibility Passive network elements - Splitters (100Mbps/user, 10km route) - Distribution enclosures (24 fibre) - Ducts & poles 11 INTERCAI MONDIALE Scope of this presentation What are the Why Why Now? Now? What What assass ets ets uties liti es cancan uti liti leverage? leverage? What are the options options for for entry? marmar ket ket entry? What are the What are the likel y probl ems likel y probl ems and is sues ? and is sues ? Balance of costs for broadband market entry Typical Cost breakdown: • >80% : Civil works trenching, ducts, connectors, enclosures • <8 %: Fibre (inc. installation • <12%: Active elements: equipment costs Actives Fibering Civil works Location Japan North America (Verizon) Europe Fibre 85% aerial fibre, short drops, Multidwelling units 70% aerial fibre, single family units (SFUs) Fibre in ground Total cost/ home $1200 Estimates from $800 to $1200 $1500 12 INTERCAI MONDIALE Practicalities of metropolitan and access network deployment Options Aerial deployment Sample Fibre attached to existing M/L voltage poles What ass ets can uti liti es leverage? Why Now? What are the options for mar ket entry? What are the likel y probl ems and is sues ? Main constraints Electricity cable • Height of the existing poles, in order to keep the reasonable distance from the ground at lowest point • Strength of the poles to sustain adding weight of the optical cables ADSS cable If clearance inadequate, replacement of existing M/L voltage poles with new poles Underground deployment Minimum Clearance • Interruption of electricity supply • Engineers needed for installation • Absence of schedule for new ducts • Coverage/range of new ducts Lay fibre in planned ducts LV = 60 cm Building of new ducts MV = 80 cm Concrete Power cable 10 cm Comms duct(s) and subducts Duct sharing (If allowed) • Difficulty of completing works in time • Cost • Regulatory position • Cost/terms of co-location 13 INTERCAI MONDIALE What ass ets can uti liti es leverage? Why Now? What are the options for mar ket entry? What are the likel y probl ems and is sues ? Alternative ducting arrangements Normal trench Micro trench 10 cm Concrete LV = 60 cm Comms duct and subducts MV = 80 cm OR... 20 cm Power cable 20 cm 10 cm 60 cm 10 cm 20 cm Well suited to rural areas (softer dig) and installation of cable from street cabinet to customer LV = 60 cm Well suited to urban areas and installation of larger cable runs (e.g. from exchange to street cabinet Subduct MV = 80 cm Concrete Power cable 10 cm Comms duct(s) and subducts Duct 14 INTERCAI MONDIALE Why Now? What ass ets can uti liti es leverage? What are the options for mar ket entry? What are the likel y probl ems and is sues ? Practical considerations for overhead delivery Configuration 1: street crossing Configuration 2: pavement Bracket extensions Electricity cable 2m 2m Electricity cable Minimum 30 cm Minimum 30 cm Fibre cable Fibre cable 6m 10m 5m 10m Minimum practical distance 5.5m Minimum practical distance Cable sag determined by tension applied, distance between poles and ADSS cable used Catenary calculations Needed to assess sag – possibly in icy conditions! 15 INTERCAI MONDIALE Why Now? What ass ets can uti liti es leverage? What are the options for mar ket entry? What are the likel y probl ems and is sues ? Summary 1) Next generation broadband will have a disruptive impact on the established telecoms market 2) Government intervention is prevalent and there is support for a trans-sector approach (as with the ANBN) 3) Utilities have relevant assets 4) There is a range of market entry options but the regulatory environment has to be supportive 5) Utilities need to consider competition to assess where they should enter the market 6) There are practical issues that need to be addressed for network design and deployment 7) Civil works is a key issue that needs to be considered at the outset. Copyright: Intercai Mondiale Ltd. No reproduction without permission 16 Tel: +44(0)1628 478470 Fax: +44(0)1628 478472 e-mail: admin@intercai.co.uk web: http://www.intercai.co.uk INTERCAI MONDIALE Intercai Mondiale Limited Assessed and registered to BS EN ISO9001:2000 Registered in England, No. 3271854 Registered office address: James House, Mere Park, Dedmere Road, Marlow, Bucks SL7 1FJ Thank You! Intercai Mondiale Ltd WLL Registered in Bahrain, CR No, 50580 Registered office address: 14th Floor, Al Jasrah Tower, Bldg No. 95, Road 1702, Block 317, Diplomatic Area, Manama, Kingdom of Bahrain Intercai Mondiale Limited Registered in England, No. 3271854 Registered office address: James House, Mere Park, Dedmere Road, Marlow, Bucks SL7 1FJ e-mail: admin@intercai.co.uk web: http://www.intercai.co.uk Copyright: Intercai Mondiale Ltd. No reproduction without permission 17